Some regions of California face nursing shortages, according to new projections of supply and demand through 2035 by Healthforce Center at UCSF. The forecasts, which account for population growth, population aging, and anticipated changes in the numbers of new registered nurse (RN) graduates, are the first regional projections completed since 2007. Substantial shortages are projected for the San Francisco, Central Valley, and Central Coast regions, while surpluses may emerge in the Sacramento and Los Angeles regions.
The BSN Forecasting Tool was created for the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the American Organization of Nurse Executives. It is a simple Excel-based model that estimates the future supply of baccalaureate and non-baccalaureate nurses based on current data on the supply of nurses and nurse graduations.
In December, 2018, HealthImpact published a series of regional registered nurse (RN) supply and demand projections developed by UCSF. This document summarizes those reports.