The San Joaquin Valley Registered Nurse Workforce: Forecasted Supply and Demand, 2016 - 2030

Authors: Spetz, J., Coffman, J., Bates, T.

Type: Report

Year of Publication: 2018

Publisher: Healthforce Center at UCSF

Place Published: San Francisco, CA

Abstract:

This report presents supply and demand forecasts for the Registered Nurse (RN) workforce in the San Joaquin Valley from 2017 through 2030. These new forecasts are based on data from the 2016 California Board of Registered Nursing (BRN) Survey of Registered Nurses, the 2015-2016 BRN Annual Schools Report, data extracted from the BRN license records, and other state and national data sources. The forecasts suggest that the total number of RNs in the San Joaquin Valley will decline between 2017 and 2030 in all but the most optimistic scenarios, and RN FTEs will decline in all scenarios. At the same time, demand for RNs is projected to grow more than 35%, leaving the San Joaquin Valley with a large projected shortage of RNs.